The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 in ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. Following an electric start to the season at Daytona and two quick 1.5-mile tracks in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Dragon Energy NASCAR cup series’ first race in the tighter quarters of the one-mile loop in ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the last five March races at this track and is the 9-4 preferred to collect another win at the latest 2019 TicketGuardian 500 chances. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin is getting 16-1, while Kurt Busch reaches 30-1 NASCAR at Phoenix odds after a strong start to his period that has him at eighth in the NASCAR standings. Before you make your own 2019 TicketGuardian 500 picks, make sure you look at the NASCAR at Phoenix projected leaderboard in the SportsLine Projection Model.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track history and recent results into account.

It made some huge calls in NASCAR this past year, such as correctly projecting wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. And it is off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin that a top-four competition and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers in last week’s Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano in its projected top . Is way up.

Grew up around race tracks. Events in venues like ISM Raceway have been in his bloodstream. His model has now simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For your 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we can tell you that the version is high on Clint Bowyer, making a strong run at the checkered flag despite heading off as a long shot 25-1 NASCAR odds. He’s a goal for anyone looking for a payday.

Bowyer struck a five-season drought without a win last year and went on to catch a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the way to some 12th-place finish in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he’s added a top-five finish at Atlanta and has revealed impressive speed occasionally. Bowyer has seven career top-10s at Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.

Bowyer, who drives for Stewart-Haas Racing, was also second in among this year’s Daytona Duels and shut out a year’s NASCAR schedule using an eight-place ending at Homestead. He’ll also come armed to the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 with a similar car setup to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.

Among the shocking 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix picks from the version: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner in ISM Raceway along with the very best Vegas favorite, makes a solid run but falls short of winning everything.

Harvick has made a career from getting to the front of the package consistently at this particular track. In Reality, He’s finished in the top 10 at 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway

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