If you really feel like there have been a ton of goals in the NHL up to now this calendar year, you would be right. What is all this talk about making the nets bigger, anyway? After only six days of action, the OVER/UNDER record for all NHL games is 20-9-7 and we have begun to find books put a blanket total of 5.5 on all matchups. In case this scoring keeps up, we could even see some sixes on the plank.
Since 2006, the NHL’s average overall goals per match has hovered between 5.30 and 5.70 but during only under a week this season, the average has made a huge jump to 6.5. No major changes were made into the rulebook in the offseason, the baits are the same size and goalies haven’t started wearing smaller equipment. So the questions to ask here are why is scoring upward by more than a goal each match? Will this tendency retain up? And how can we profit off this tendency moving forward and today?
Looking backward , the average of 6.5 goals scored per game this year is really the most since 1993, once the average for the whole year was 6.5 — down from 7.25 the preceding calendar year. It appears weird that the league average has jumped by so much with no basic changes to the sport and what it really suggests is that this trend likely won’t last.
The public was crying for more targets for many years as well as the NHL’s ratings were absolute garbage this past year. My concept is that the team has leveraged its higher-scoring matchups toward the beginning of the season to generate a small bit of additional attention and after the shameless marketing stunt that has been the World Cup of Hockey, ” I do not think that it’s too much of a conspiracy theory.
This is not the first time teams have come from the gate flying. In 2010, the O/U listing for many games following 36 matchups was 22-14 and also the targets per game average was 6.33. Additionally, in all but one year since 2008, the typical total goals per match through 36 matches was greater than the average in the close of the season. Make no mistake , this trend is going to level off, it’s only a matter of if.
NHL goalies right now are combining to get an .898 save percentage. That’s the lowest since the 1995-96 season and is the No. 1 identifier the total goals per game average can only come down. Since 2005-06 the average NHL save percentage has gone up almost every year and reached its peak this past year in .915. Save percentages falling a full 1.7 percentage for no reason is not sustainable. The guys in the crease will figure it out, trust me.
My suggestion for right now is to hammer OVERs. The definition of insanity is to do something over and over again and expect different results so taking an UNDER right today when they’re hitting at just 25 percent might just land you a place in the nuthouse. Nevertheless, kindly accepting OVERs is not the thing to do either. Select your spots, examine the goalie matchups and if totals start going to six, or the typical levels off, just be a bit more cautious.
I for one hope that this is not a crazy anomaly since the puck up to now this season has been exceptionally entertaining and no one wants to wager UNDERs. That is just a pipe dream as I fear this tendency is on the clock — take advantage while you still can.

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