Florida Gators at Xavier Musketeers NCAAM Pick – November 24th
Youre likely to require your fair share of bad beats, when you bet because many matches as I do, as long as I have. And this week was a one as we saw several situations spoiled. Whether it was seeing Furman lead in the second half against Alabama only to eventually dont cover as four things puppies, or BYU overlooking an abysmal point-blank layup with less than half an hour on the clock against Boise State and after blowing off a four-point overtime direct, a week was painful.
This pain was capped off Friday night as we endorsed the LSU Tigers +1.5-points against the Utah State Aggies. I believed that the Tigers would be too physical for the Aggies from the cube and would control the boards. While I do adore this Utah State team this year, I felt as though it was a excellent place to fade them. And for a lot of the game, it felt as though it was an easy money pick.
The Tigers jumped out to an early 28-13 lead, and this game seemed like it would be a blowout. At half time, the Tigers led 44-30, and early in the second half they stretched that contribute . So if I were to give you a seventeen-point outcome along with a stage and a half youd love it? Well, not too fast.
The Aggies started fighting back, but this was a ten-point LSU lead with seven minutes left to play. But then the Aggies caught fire and closed the gap and took the lead with less than a second left to play. They fell short, and the Aggies celebrated a massive comeback triumph, and we dropped our wager, although the Tigers had many looks to tie or take the head late.
It was a very painful conclusion to what is a rotten week. However, this is the existence of a sports bettor, you are going to go on tough runs, but you can not let it distract you from looking out value. After taking the day off we visit Charleston to the finals of the Charleston Classic between Xavier and Florida, and will get back on the wagon today.
The Florida Gators discover themselves at the finals of the Charleston Classic after a rather hard-fought 70-62 victory over a game St. Josephss team at the first circular, and a blowout 78-58 victory within in-state competitions, the Miami Hurricanes, at the semifinals Friday night. The Gators have been as high as number six in the ranks this season before falling after two early-season declines, a win over a ranked Xavier team out would likely get them straight back into the upper twenty-five.
The Musketeers beat an Towson team 73-51, from the very first circular. They followed that one Friday up with a double-overtime thriller from UCONN, that watched Xavier sneak out using a one-point success. The Musketeers took the lead on two free throws from Jason Carter to advance to the finals tonight.
Many people thought the Florida Gators might be a national championship level team that season. They came to the year ranked in the preseason AP Poll, and along with Kentucky, would be the favorites at number six. As they endured an early-season loss to Florida State, a team that seems to give them trouble, some have stumbled however. Them dropped out of number six all the way.
They followed up that one with a reduction to UCONN at Storrs, and just like this, they fell from the top twenty-five. But those early year losses, both marginally understandable, do not alter how this is a really talented team. Has been Kerry Blackshear.
Blackshear was a celebrity in 3 seasons at Virginia Tech, and transferred as a grad transfer to Florida, seeking a ring. He has wasted no time in getting the senior leader of the Florida team as he also leads the team in scoring and rebounding in 13 and 9 a game. From the semi-finals from Miami, Blackshear included in eleven rebounds and five assists and scored a season high linking twenty points. Many expect Blackshear for a national player of the year candidate, and he looked like it in their last game.
The Xavier Musketeers are just another group that has a lot of hype surrounding this season to them. Theyre picked to finish near the top of their Big East, and they were ranked eighteenth in the AP Poll. They begin all upperclassmen and return everyone from last years group. The Musketeers have three guys scoring more than thirteen points a game so far this season in Naji Marshall, Tyrique Jones, along with Paul Scruggs.
The win over UCONN went a very long way into solidifying the Musketeers in the ranks since they have had an extremely soft schedule so far this season. Wins over schools such as Jacksonville, Siena, and Towson possess the Musketeers strength of schedule rated in the country per kenpom as 185th. They will face their biggest challenge of the year tonight.
This is really a game. Both these teams must compete for their respective league titles, and both these teams have been risks to play on the second weekend of the Big Dance. So, where do I draw the line on this one? Rested thighs and motivation.
For Xavier? This is a really gifted staff. But following an absolute barnburner Friday night that required a ton of effort and emotion, they also run the danger of being emotionally and physically drained tonight. Having to play three-games in four occasions is hard enough, but when you add two overtime sessions, X performed almost a whole additional half of activity. I think that will come back as their legs might find a little tired, and burn them late in this one.
I believe this is a back and forth game early, and that the Gators will make the most of the extra rest and pull off in the second half. The amount will be in play the majority of the night, like I dont find this game getting out of hand, and the Musketeers certainly wont be setting down. I believe this Florida team is underrated at this time and will be the team.
Are you told me that a month ago this Florida team would not even be in the upper twenty-five, I would have laughed at you. But that is where they stand today, and that is maintaining this amount a fair one. If the Gators were in the top ten, this number could be inflated.
When you have a take a look at kenpoms ranks, which give us a much more accurate view of teams skill than the conventional positions, the Gators are rated in 23, two places ahead of their 25 ranked Musketeers. The analytics inform us that Florida is the team that is better, and I tend to agree with them. Give me exactly the Florida Gators as small favorites tonight at the finals of the Charleston Classic, placing -2.5-things!
