FanDuel MLB DFS Picks – September 10th
We have a huge MLB slate on faucet with plenty of run projections across the board.
Let us see whether we earn in the week and can take advantage and roll up the perfect pitcher and piles!
P — Mitch Keller (PIT) — $6,100 vs. SF
Now, this choice certainly carries its fair share of dangers. Does Keller own a 8.18 ERA in the big leagues this year across eight starts, he also left his latest start after only 1.2 innings after taking a line drive from his wrist. Nevertheless, in accordance with the Pirates’ official site, Keller is better to opt for this beginning tonight and there is no mention of a pitch limitation or anything that may stop him from hitting his ceiling at a favorable matchup at Oracle Park in San Francisco tonight. If you’re able to look beyond the sky-high ERA, you’ll see that Keller has ever been exceptionally unfortunate from the early due to his MLB career as he owns a 3.70 FIP, 3.90 xFIP plus a massive 12.00 K/9 clip. The culprit in his bad luck to this stage is his enormous .469 BABIP against even though allowing a respectable 37.6% hard contact against the year. The matchup could not be much better since he chooses on a Giants team that ranks 28th having a .296 wOBA against right-handed pitching on the time and while their 22.9percent K-rate vs righties is roughly middle of the pack, Keller boasts substantial strikeout upside with his eponymous K-rate over the season. Insert in the extreme pitcher-friendly boundaries of Oracle Park and that I believe we have a lot of value upside with all the Pirates’ prospect tonight.
C/1B — Freddie Freeman (ATL) — $4,000 vs. PHI
My teammates will observe tonight to some possession, so I guess you could call these bats a money line, even though most cash lineups will start with Walker Buehler from the casting position. Nonetheless, I am going to roll up a pair of stacks that have ceilings, beginning here with Freeman along with the Braves as they accept on left-hander Jason Vargas along with the Phillies. Vargas owns a 4.27 ERA on the season, but in addition a 4.68 FIP plus 5.43 xFIP along with a tiny 7.06 K/9 clip also. Vargas has interestingly made only 1 start this year against the Braves despite playing in the same division against those together with the Mets and Phillies, but that start was his worst of the year as he lasted only 0.1 innings and surrendered four earned runs before getting the hook. As a result, dial up a four-man Braves stack. He has shown an ability to smash pitching before despite hitting on the left hand this year his splits greatly prefer right-handed pitching. Nonetheless, he still possesses a .200 ISO versus left handed pitching on the season and an .226 mark against lefties in the home. We are also given some stolen foundation upside with six steals on the season by freeman. He bound to see a righty at some stage tonight and I wouldn’t be leaving him from any Braves pile tonight.
2B — Ozzie Albies (ATL) — $3,300 vs. PHI
We certainly wish to roll him from left-handed pitching opposed to righties, although the young second baseman Ozzie Albies is really a switch-hitter. Albies owns just a .173 ISO, .763 OPS, .321 wOBA along with 94 wRC+ around the season versus pitching. But against lefties, he’s hitting .385 with a .296 ISO, 1.086 OPS, .445 wOBA and a gigantic 175 wRC+. What’s more, the numbers get even tastier at home versus lefties where he has struck them to get a .303 ISO, 1.147 OPS, .469 wOBA and also a 191 wRC+. The lefty-mashing is certainly nothing understood for Albies as he has hit southpaw pitching for an impressive .240 ISO, .973 OPS, .408 wOBA and 153 wRC much. Naturally, we also have some foundation upside as well as he’s swiped at 15 bases over the season, albeit having a few of those. We also carry a player who’s had the upper hand in the batter vs. pitcher region here. Albies has gone for 12 (.417) with a double and a stolen base against the veteran left-hander in their background against another. Add in the fact he is projected to hit from the precious tonight and I am enjoying this play.
3B — Justin Turner (LAD) — $3,600 vs. BAL
Along with the Braves and their 5.7 streak projection for tonight, so I will use a four-man Dodgers stack because they shoot on left-hander Ty Blach along with the Baltimore Orioles tonight. Blach has been completely pummeled this year in the big leagues as he possesses a 10.95 ERA, 6.94 FIP and a 6.69 xFIP to go alongside a 2.19 HR/9 clip across four starts and six looks in the bigs this year. The prior Giants southpaw also posted a 5.93 ERA, 5.26 FIP and 5.39 xFIP across his 17 appearances with the Giants’ Triple-A affiliate prior to switching organizations, therefore we certainly have a targetable pitcher . Turner’s bat has turned into a home-run-hitting bat against this season as he is introduced 27 long balls and possesses a .223 ISO. The long-time lefty-masher is getting it done against both lefties and righties, but he possesses a big-time .297 ISO, .938 OPS, .384 wOBA along with also a 141 wRC+ to the season against left wing pitching. Furthermore, his very best work comes from lefties on the street where he’s ruined them to the song of a .356 ISO, 1.174 OPS, .476 wOBA and an eye-popping 201 wRC+. There is simply no decision on whether to use Turner in a tonight to be made.
SS — Dansby Swanson (ATL) — $2,800 vs. PHI
Guy up in our f0ur-man Braves pile is Swanson who came out of the gate red-hot this season against lefties, and there is plenty to enjoy about his odds against Vargas within this 1 tonight, while he has slowed down a few. First, his .186 ISO, .853 OPS, .359 wOBA and 119 wRC+ to the time against lefties signifies much better figures than the ones he sports against righties despite struck .190 ISO versus righties being slightly higher compared to his .186 markers against lefties. Still, I love the fact that his very best split comes in home from lefties where he owns a .292 ISO, 1.084 OPS, .443 wOBA along with a 174 wRC+. Is the 119 mark on the street against right-wing pitching, so clearly we have him exactly where we need him tonight. Furthermore, Swanson gives us a base upside since he has swiped at eight bases on the season, albeit having just two steals versus pitching. He’s been at a small rut at the plate in the month of September, nevertheless Swanson doubled, scored a run and stole a base in the night’s series opener against the Phils, therefore let’s search for him to build on that effort in this 1 tonight.
OF — Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL) — $4,000 vs. PHI
Completing our four-man Braves stack tonight is Acuna Jr. who obviously brings a bunch of power and speed into this lineup as evidenced by his own 38 home runs and 34 stolen bases over the season. Nevertheless, Acuna enjoys himself some pitching and contains simply possessed the veteran Vargas in their history against one another. His lefty-righty divides are actually pretty close, but the benefit goes to lefties because he owns a .281 ISO, .916 OPS, .378 wOBA along with 131 wRC+ from southpaws on the season — most of which are improvements over his characters versus righties. Acuna was really scuffling a bit in the plate of late, going hitless in five of the last eight starts before hitting a home run and scoring three runs in the night’s win over the Phillies. The home run offers him a .278 ISO for the month of September to this point. On top of being the leadoff guy for the Braves — a spot that provides him a ton of cross-category upside — Acuna has also possessed Vargas in his young career as he has gone 6 for 9 (.667) using a triple and a homer to go alongside a stolen base against him. That’s Great for a .556 ISO and 1.922 OPS off of the southpaw. Sign up me all day .
OF — A.J. Pollock (LAD) — $3,800 vs. BAL
Getting back into our Dodgers pile, I will roster Pollock who is set to hit in the leadoff spot tonight against the lefty Blach. Pollock loves himself some left-handed pitching as he has submitted a .358 batting average against these on the summer, but also a .185 ISO, .948 OPS, .394 wOBA and also a 148 wRC+ — numbers that carry up quite similarly on the road because they do in the home. Pollock busted out using a three-homer night on Friday from the Giants, and if he failed to register a hit in both games since, there is clearly a lot of pop during that violin. The oft-injured outfielder does not have the identical speed he saw him slip 39 foundations back in the 2015 season, but he does possess four over only 287 plate appearances in another injury-shortened effort in 2019. The leadoff spot is certainly encouraging here, however that I love the fact that he’s had success in the past against Blach. Pollock has gone for 2 (.375) having a double and a home run in his career against the left-hander. His lefty-mashing manners combined with a fighting opponent at a hitter-friendly venue out of the leadoff spot tonight gives us a lot of reason to love the ceiling Pollock brings to the table.
OF — Cody Bellinger (LAD) — $4,600 vs. BAL
Next guy up in the Dodgers heap is Bellinger who has dominated plenty of pitchers this year in what would amount to a MVP for the young outfielder. It’s been an outrageous campaign for its 2017 NL Rookie of the Year since he is smacked 44 home runs on the season and owns a .336 ISO for a outcome. While the breaks advantage goes to right-handed pitching, it is really pretty near as Bellinger has pummeled left pitching also. Entering this 1 tonight, Bellinger owns a .329 ISO, 1.000 OPS, .404 wOBA and 154 wRC+ on the season vs southpaw pitching. The figures drop on the road a small bit, but let us also not get too upset over his enormous .311 ISO, .906 OPS, .371 wOBA and 132 wRC+ on the road against lefties. Together with Bellinger, we also possess some stolen foundation upside since he has swiped 11 foundations around the year, four of which have come against lefties, which will be wonderful to see. He has also enjoyed some success before against Blach as he’s gone for 16 (.312) having a double and a steal from the left-hander. In the end of the day, I’m not about to depart Bellinger from any Dodgers pile in this matchup tonight.
UTIL — David Freese (LAD) — $2,700 vs. BAL
Completing our four-man Dodgers heap is your veteran Freese who’s actually projected to strike from their two-hole tonight and has experienced a major season in part time obligation for the Dodgers. He’s been restricted to only 168 plate appearances on the season, but Freese has obliterated both left and also right-handed pitchers this season. Entering this one tonight, Freese possesses a .256 ISO, .884 OPS, .372 wOBA and a 133 wRC+ around the year against lefties — something that’s great to watch because he gets set to shoot Blach. But he’ll also probably face a right-hander tonight too and he’s really destroyed righties to the song of a .397 ISO, 1.230 OPS, .497 wOBA along with also a 215 wRC+. On the street as a complete, Frese has posted a .361 ISO, 1.027 OPS, .418 wOBA and a 159 wRC+, therefore he’s set to go to get a wonderful matchup at a hitter-friendly environment tonight. Freese includes two hits over his five plate appearances, and both of those hits went to home runs. He’s also two for 4 in his history against Blach. Add it all up and I believe Freese brings a ton of value upside in this matchup tonight and to the table at the price tag.
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